What matters in U.S. and global markets today
 

Morning Bid U.S.

Morning Bid U.S.

A Reuters Open Interest newsletter

What matters in U.S. and global markets today

 

By Mike Dolan, Editor-at-Large, Finance & Markets

Nvidia appeared to ring all the bells once again in its latest earnings release, but the reaction of its shares amounted to something of a shrug and a sign of how much is already in the price.

The world's most valuable company showed almost a doubling of sales over the past year, modestly beat revenue forecasts for the coming quarter, lifted its dividend and plans an $80 billion stock buyback.

I'll get into that and more below.

But first, check out my latest column on why borrowing costs could prove to be Trump's biggest political headache.

And listen to the latest episode of the Morning Bid daily podcast. Subscribe to hear Reuters journalists discuss the biggest news in markets and finance seven days a week.

 
 

Data refreshes every time you open this email. For more U.S. market news, click here. Please send any feedback to morningbid@thomsonreuters.com.

 

Today's Market Minute

  • SpaceX revealed its IPO filing on Wednesday, laying bare for investors just how much Elon Musk is losing on AI while betting the company's future on transforming the rocket maker into an AI powerhouse.
  • Pakistan stepped up diplomatic efforts on Thursday to hasten U.S. and Iran peace talks, as Tehran said it was reviewing Washington's latest responses.
  • Iran is consolidating control of Hormuz with island checkpoints, diplomatic deals and sometimes “fees”, according to a Reuters special report.
  • The global oil market may be only months away from a breaking point as inventories threaten to hit critical lows in the coming months, writes ROI Energy Columnist Ron Bousso.
  • Why have stock markets powered higher despite the ructions of the Middle East conflict and energy shock? BlackRock’s Helen Jewell breaks down three key reasons.
 

Shrug for Nvidia but IPOs excite

Nvidia’s shares fell back about 1% out of hours, giving back what they’d gained during Wednesday’s trading session, ostensibly on questions around growing competition from other chipmakers.

But there was no real red flag on the mega AI boom, and chipmakers across the world rallied overnight, helped by Samsung’s 7% surge after it reached an 11th-hour deal to avert a workers’ strike.

The tech mood was further improved by reports that OpenAI would soon file for an IPO, news that sent SoftBank shares up almost 20% in Tokyo. And markets are braced for another trillion-dollar-plus mega-cap hitting Wall Street next month as SpaceX also filed for a long-awaited IPO on Wednesday.

But the broader market mood had been lifted by sliding oil prices amid reports of several supertankers transiting the Hormuz strait, combined with hopes that a deal to end the Iran war could be back on track. Brent crude settled at around $105 per barrel on Wednesday.

That saw the S&P 500 end 1% higher and Treasury yields beat a retreat, taking the wind out of the dollar’s sails in the process. Wall Street futures were up slightly before the open on Thursday, while Brent crude edged down further.

Fed minutes released on Wednesday showed an increasingly hawkish central bank committee at its April meeting, wary of missing its inflation target for five years running.

Thursday will see retail giant Walmart top the earnings slate, while flash business surveys for May will stream in around the world. An early release indicated that economic activity in the euro zone fell at its sharpest rate since October 2023 in May.

With that, onto today's column.

 
 

'True cost of living' could be Trump's biggest headache

For most households, the cost of money is part of the cost of living. If borrowing costs rise again to choke off inflation, the political fallout could rival the cost-of-living backlash that dogged Democrats in the 2024 election.

For a variety of reasons, U.S. President Donald Trump has repeatedly demanded lower interest rates throughout his first and now second terms in office. The mood of the electorate is no doubt one of them.