Will Figma’s sensational public debut last week
entice other startups to jump into the fray, bringing an end to the tech industry’s IPO drought?
And if so, who’s next?
There’s a long list of late-stage VC-backed tech companies with strong customer bases that Wall Street investment bankers would love to take public. Among them: Databricks, Klarna, Stripe, and SpaceX.
And then, of course, there’s the crop of richly valued AI startups, from OpenAI and Anthropic to Elon Musk’s xAI.
Yet in conversations I had with several investors, other names came up as more likely to IPO sooner, including Canva, Revolut, Midjourney, Motive, and Anduril.
Though Figma is profitable and has a strong set of integrated AI capabilities, these qualities are not essential to companies bound for IPO success, says Kyle Stanford, the director of research on US venture capital at PitchBook.
Investors prefer companies to generate a minimum of $200 million in revenue that grows at high rates and prioritize positive free cash flow over profitability, he said. An AI story is also “very important.”
Multiple investors told me Canva may be the most compelling IPO candidate since it’s a design company with similar fundamentals to that of Figma.
Another: Chipmaker Cerebras, which filed an S-1 in September 2024 but saw its IPO delayed by regulators concerned about a $335 million investment by UAE-based G42.
Just 18 venture-backed companies have gone public through June 30 of this year, Stanford said.
But as Kirsten Green, founder and managing partner at Forerunner Ventures, whose portfolio company Chime recently went public, put it: “Having positive IPOs is a good signal for everybody.”
—Alexandra Sternlicht