The news out of the Middle East is fluid, and markets are volatile. By the time this newsletter lands in your mailbox, things may have changed.
As of now, oil markets are selling off following a report that Iran has launched missiles at U.S. military bases in Qatar. Earlier in the day, Qatar had shut its airspace.
Telegraphed attacks on well-defended U.S. bases would follow a similar pattern, and provided there are no U.S. casualties, could be a first step in reducing tensions, Energy Aspects mentioned in one of their recent Live posts.
BP and TotalEnergies are evacuating foreign personnel from Iraqi oilfields, state-run Basra Oil Company said on Monday. Output remains unchanged, with exports averaging 3.32 million barrels per day.
All eyes are on whether there will be an impact to transit through the Strait of Hormuz, which is responsible for about a fifth of the world's oil consumption. At least two supertankers made U-turns near the strait following U.S. military strikes on Iran over the weekend.
In another corner of the energy world, U.S. power prices are soaring to their highest level since the winter as a brutal heat wave blankets the eastern half of the country. Next-day power prices at the PJM West hub in Pennsylvania soared by over 430% to roughly $211 per megawatt hour, while in New England prices rose by 180% to over $161 per MWh.
Also, New York state plans to build an advanced nuclear plant that will have capacity to produce 1 gigawatt of power, Governor Kathy Hochul said on Monday. The plant would be one of the first new U.S. reactors in a generation.